Russia sits back as the Iran war escalates, expecting long-term gains
Background and Russia’s Response
As U.S. and Israeli military actions intensify in Iran, Russia has expressed indignation but has not taken direct military action to support Iran. The country has urged regional parties to ‘exercise restraint and caution’ amid growing U.S. military presence in the region.
Strategic Gains and Economic Implications
Russia is positioning itself to benefit from the escalating conflict, particularly through enhanced diplomatic ties with Iran and potential shifts in energy markets. While the immediate gains are considered modest, a prolonged conflict could significantly impact Russia’s economic and geopolitical influence.
Reports suggest that Russia may be sharing intelligence with Iran, which could deepen the regional conflict and expand its strategic reach. Additionally, the potential for increased demand for Russian oil could boost its economy, especially as global energy markets react to the crisis.
Warnings and Global Impact
Russia has warned that the escalating conflict in Iran could trigger a global crisis, including a nuclear arms race and disruptions to global energy supplies. This includes concerns over the Strait of Hormuz and the stability of international oil markets.
Regional and Diplomatic Developments
- Russia and Iran have reportedly struck a secret €500 million arms deal for advanced missile systems, set to begin in 2027.
- The deal includes 500 Verba launch units and 2,500 9M336 missiles, indicating a significant military partnership.
- These developments suggest a deeper strategic alignment between Russia and Iran, despite the broader regional tensions.
來源：https://apnews.com/article/russia-iran-war-putin-ukraine-oil-8a6af4989692d66a1e5bed1bc1922efa