東方經濟體遭受伊朗戰爭重創，衰退風險升溫

戰爭對東方經濟體造成嚴重衝擊

伊朗戰爭對東方主要經濟體，包括沙特阿拉伯、阿拉伯聯合大公國及卡塔爾等，構成重大威脅。根據多個國際媒體報導，若衝突持續，這些國家的經濟將面臨嚴重衰退風險。

能源與旅遊業受創嚴重

東方經濟體高度依賴能源出口與旅遊業，戰爭導致能源市場波動，並影響卡塔爾等國的液化天然氣（LNG）出口，進而導致全球氣價調整與經濟鏈條受創。

經濟衰退風險與GDP成長預期下降

專家預測，若衝突持續，東方經濟體的GDP可能在本年度下滑1至2%，若戰爭長期化，將導致更嚴重的經濟損失，甚至可能重演1990年代的油價衝擊與經濟危機。

市場反應與投資者態度

投資者對東方市場持謹慎態度，例如迪拜股市在戰爭風險加劇下出現明顯下跌，顯示市場對經濟前景的擔憂。

(Bloomberg) — The Iran war threatens to deal significant blows to the Gulf’s biggest economies, including Saudi Arabia, the United Arab …

The ongoing Iran war could severely impact Gulf economies if it continues, with Qatar and Kuwait potentially seeing GDP contract by about 14% …

Gulf economies at risk of worst slump since 1990s on Iran war. Global gas markets have also been upended by a collapse in Qatar’s LNG exports.

The ongoing conflict in Iran could severely affect Gulf economies, potentially causing damage comparable to the Gulf War and the oil shock …

The Iran war threatens to deal significant blows to the Gulf’s biggest economies, including Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Qatar …

Most Gulf equities erased early advances to finish lower on Wednesday, led by a sharp decline in ​Dubai, as investors stayed cautious over …

… Iran war. Within the Gulf, major energy producers face exposure through infrastructure risks, and tourism-linked economies such as Dubai and …

A short-lived conflict will probably result in falls in GDP of 1-2% this year. If the conflict is prolonged and involves lasting damage to …

The Iran war may inflict some of the worst damage on Gulf economies since the Gulf War and oil shock of the early 1990s, if it doesn’t end soon.

來源：https://www.aljazeera.com/economy/2026/3/17/gulf-economies-suffer-brunt-of-iran-war-as-recession-risk-looms?traffic_source=rss